Recession Tracker
A comprehensive economic monitoring tool that provides a 0-100 recession risk score, tracks 20+ economic indicators, and delivers daily AI-powered analysis to help investors make informed decisions.
https://recessionistpro.com/?ref=producthunt
Product Information
Updated:Dec 15, 2025
What is Recession Tracker
Recession Tracker, also known as Recessionist Pro, is a sophisticated economic intelligence platform designed to help busy professionals and investors monitor recession risks and market conditions. Created by Tom Spark, this tool combines real-time data analysis with macroeconomic indicators to provide clear, actionable insights about the state of the economy. The platform offers a simplified dashboard that consolidates complex economic data into an easy-to-understand format, making it accessible for users who want to stay informed without spending hours analyzing markets.
Key Features of Recession Tracker
Recessionist Pro is an AI-powered economic tracking platform that provides a comprehensive recession risk analysis through a live dashboard displaying a 0-100 risk score, 20+ economic indicators, and daily AI-generated analysis. The service focuses on helping users navigate different phases of economic cycles by monitoring key metrics like yield curves, unemployment rates, and credit spreads, delivering insights in an easily digestible format at 8 AM PST daily.
Live Dashboard with Risk Score: Real-time monitoring of recession risk on a 0-100 scale, integrating data from 20+ economic indicators including yield curves, unemployment rates, and VIX
Daily AI Analysis: AI-generated economic analysis delivered at 8 AM PST, summarizing key changes and providing actionable insights in a concise format
Three-Phase Economic Cycle Detection: Automated detection and analysis of pre-recession, recession, and recovery phases with specific metrics and strategies for each phase
Political Risk Modeling: Unique analysis of political uncertainty, trade tensions, and fiscal risk factors that traditional models often ignore
Use Cases of Recession Tracker
Investment Portfolio Management: Helps investors make informed decisions about when to adjust their portfolio allocation between defensive and growth assets based on economic cycle phases
Real Estate Timing: Assists in tracking the 18-year real estate cycle to help identify optimal times for property transactions
Business Planning: Enables businesses to prepare for economic changes by providing early warning signals about potential economic downturns
Personal Financial Planning: Helps individuals protect their savings and investments by providing clear signals about when to adopt more conservative financial strategies
Pros
Time-efficient (requires only 5-10 minutes daily to stay informed)
Transparent methodology with verifiable data sources
Affordable compared to competitor services
No upsells or hidden fees
Cons
Relatively new service with limited historical track record
Relies heavily on traditional economic indicators which may not capture all market dynamics
Single developer/maintainer could be a potential risk for service continuity
How to Use Recession Tracker
Access the Dashboard: Log into Recessionist Pro dashboard which updates daily at 8 AM PST. The main dashboard displays the Recession Risk Score (0-100) and key economic indicators.
Check the Recession Risk Score: Review the main Recession Risk Score (0-100) which distills complex data into a single number. Scores above 50 indicate elevated recession risk, while scores above 70 suggest high risk.
Monitor Key Indicators: Review the 20+ live economic indicators including yield curve, unemployment rate, VIX volatility index, and credit spreads that are updated regularly throughout the day.
Read Daily Analysis: Check the daily written analysis provided at 8 AM PST which explains what changed in the markets, what matters most, and what to watch for.
Identify Economic Phase: Determine which of the 3 phases the economy is in: Pre-Recession, In-Recession, or Recovery Phase based on the dashboard indicators and analysis.
Review Historical Charts: Compare current indicators against historical patterns from past recessions to identify similar trends and potential outcomes.
Check Investment Recommendations: Review phase-specific ETF watchlists and investment ideas provided for each economic cycle phase to help guide investment decisions.
Monitor Early Warnings: Pay attention to any early warning indicators that flash red before mainstream news catches on to potential economic troubles.
Recession Tracker FAQs
The Recession Risk Score is measured on a scale of 0-100, with 0 being Safe and 100 being Critical. It combines 20+ economic indicators including yield curves, unemployment rates, VIX, and credit spreads. The current score shown in the example is 55/100, indicating a PRE-RECESSION phase.
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